Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000077 0.000092 0.000107 0.000125 0.000144 0.000165 0.000189
2025-02-23 0.000060 0.000078 0.000099 0.000125 0.000154 0.000188 0.000228
2025-03-02 0.000047 0.000067 0.000091 0.000121 0.000157 0.000198 0.000249
2025-03-09 0.000039 0.000059 0.000085 0.000119 0.000161 0.000211 0.000274
2025-03-16 0.000033 0.000054 0.000082 0.000119 0.000167 0.000225 0.000298
2025-03-23 0.000028 0.000050 0.000079 0.000120 0.000173 0.000239 0.000325
2025-03-30 0.000024 0.000045 0.000076 0.000119 0.000177 0.000250 0.000345
2025-04-06 0.000020 0.000041 0.000071 0.000116 0.000178 0.000257 0.000362
2025-04-13 0.000018 0.000039 0.000071 0.000120 0.000187 0.000274 0.000391
2025-04-20 0.000015 0.000035 0.000066 0.000115 0.000185 0.000277 0.000403
2025-04-27 0.000013 0.000032 0.000064 0.000115 0.000188 0.000286 0.000422
2025-05-04 0.000011 0.000030 0.000062 0.000114 0.000192 0.000296 0.000441
2025-05-11 0.000010 0.000029 0.000063 0.000119 0.000203 0.000317 0.000477
2025-05-18 0.000009 0.000027 0.000061 0.000120 0.000208 0.000331 0.000504
2025-05-25 0.000007 0.000024 0.000057 0.000115 0.000206 0.000333 0.000515
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000022 0.000054 0.000114 0.000209 0.000342 0.000535
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000020 0.000053 0.000114 0.000212 0.000353 0.000557
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.000019 0.000052 0.000115 0.000218 0.000366 0.000584
2025-06-22 0.000003 0.000017 0.000050 0.000114 0.000220 0.000375 0.000604
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000015 0.000047 0.000111 0.000219 0.000379 0.000618
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000015 0.000048 0.000114 0.000228 0.000398 0.000652
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000013 0.000044 0.000110 0.000226 0.000399 0.000661
2025-07-20 0.000001 0.000012 0.000043 0.000110 0.000228 0.000407 0.000681